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I can't remember where I read it initially, but the take that I love about estimates goes something like this:

Software is trivially copy-able, and as such large software projects are unique enough that accurately estimating them is impossible. This is in contrast to something like building a house. I build a single house, figure out how much that cost and now have a very good reference point for how much building that same house over and over will be.

I really like the approach that Basecamp recommend in Shape Up[1] where the team pivots to reasoning about work in terms of appetitie rather than expected time.

[1] https://basecamp.com/shapeup/1.2-chapter-03#setting-the-appe...



Shape Up is fantastic!




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