Thanks for taking the time to write this out! Politics is so intricate that there's always more nuance than one can get from international news. And yet, despite all the variations, most people seem to accept that their country's version of democracy is the only possible option. To me, it seems natural to be fascinated by its different shapes in different places. E.g. Fraktionszwang, which is an entirely different approach than the US-style whipping (i.e. encouraging allegiance, but at most only threatening to support a primary challenger from the same party, and typically accomplished more through favor-trading).
I'm in the middle of Dark on Netflix, and even as a single perspective it's felt enlightening in how it poses the German everyman in relation to the nuclear energy industry. In a way that feels very different to even US perspectives (my country).
In your opinion, would it be fair to say that Chernobyl and then the Cold War drumbeat of nuclear weapons use were the main historical anti-nuclear motivators? And then Fukushima stirred up that present-but-latent thinking in the modern zeitgeist?
I guess the nuance I'm most interested but confused about is how Fukushima triggered such an apparent breakdown in nuclear support in the center-right, and so quickly? Was there pre-existing anti-nuclear sentiment there too? Or was it more about pro-coal sentiment? Or something else entirely?
Yes, opposition of nuclear energy in Germany is historically tied to the peace movement and opposition to foreign powers deploying their nukes on their bases in Germany. Chernobyl was definitely another catalyst here. Though no new nuclear construction has taken place since the early 80s already. Fukushima likely felt very relevant again, because Japan is seen as a highly advanced country and the Japanese are considered extremely diligent in Germany. Parts of the Fukushima plant were also pretty much the same age as many operational German plants at the time, and their reactors are a Western design so the "Soviets don't know squat how to build a safe reactor" excuse that comes up with Chernobyl doesn't have any traction. Overall the nuclear situation in Japan was seen as generally analogous to the nuclear situation in Germany: "The Japanese just had an accident, and we're like them and don't want an accident, so let's shut the reactors down."
Politically, things have become far more convoluted in recent years with large parts of the green spectrum becoming more and more critical of "radiation" in particular (cellular networks, wifi, microwaves, anything nuclear) and entire branches of science in general (nuclear research, obviously, but also pharmaceutics, medicine, biology and others).
As far as the Green party is concerned, historically it had two wings ("fundis" and "realos", the former being the fundamentalists, the latter being realpolitikers), which in principle would both count as sort of left, but in practice the fundis stayed more or less left-ish, while the realos migrated to the right. The SPD-Greens coalition was enabled by the realos wing. Similarly, the realos are now the de-facto ruling wing inside the party since 2018, which is why a SPD-Greens-FDP coalition is possible in the first place.
Coal is quite a difficult topic. Most coal is strip-mined in Germany, which causes the expropriation of entire villages and small cities. That's not a talking point in politics. A state PM illegally dissolving protests against strip mining isn't even a scandal. However, if for example The Left publicly ponders whether expropriation of apartment houses and conversion to social housing in cities could be one way to solve the housing crisis, that's a major scandal and causes them to not pass the 5 % threshold. That might give you a feel for the standing of coal. Despite only employing around 20-25k people in Germany, maintaining coal jobs has become basically an iron curtain protecting coal.
To circle back to the Green party, it's noteworthy that their party program is not even close to a program in line with the 1.5 °C target.
The comparison between Germany and Japan as precision industrial experts makes sense. I'd never thought about it in terms of "our national identity shares this core aspect with their national identity."
As the quip goes in the US, 'The left is a big tent party (accepts all sorts) and so is constantly debating itself. Whereas the right expects everyone to fall in line with the party platform.' But recent presidencies challenged the truth of that.
Coal serves similarly here, for a single reason: votes in Illinois, Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and West Virginia. Were those not necessary states to forge a path the presidency, no one would care about the topic. But since they are, even negative statements about coal are couched in very careful language.
IMHO, it's actually more about the ideal of a "coal miner" than it is about actual coal mining. Most of the people supporting it will never work a day in a mine: and nor will many others, with the amount of automation these days. But why let facts get in the way of a good political story? :)
I was happy to see the UK's push at COP26 for annual subsequent meetings to examine and refine nationally determined contributions [0]. Hopefully that will put some "Words are cheap, but we don't actually intend to follow through" countries under more scrutiny.
I'm in the middle of Dark on Netflix, and even as a single perspective it's felt enlightening in how it poses the German everyman in relation to the nuclear energy industry. In a way that feels very different to even US perspectives (my country).
In your opinion, would it be fair to say that Chernobyl and then the Cold War drumbeat of nuclear weapons use were the main historical anti-nuclear motivators? And then Fukushima stirred up that present-but-latent thinking in the modern zeitgeist?
I guess the nuance I'm most interested but confused about is how Fukushima triggered such an apparent breakdown in nuclear support in the center-right, and so quickly? Was there pre-existing anti-nuclear sentiment there too? Or was it more about pro-coal sentiment? Or something else entirely?