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I’m sure I’m missing something deeper here: isn’t it tautological that something that is at >50% can’t double again?


It's a joke. Even someone as well known as Peter Norvig is unlikely to be so gauche as to name a "law" after himself except tongue in cheek.


It seems to be intended just as a common-sense reminder that fast growth has to eventually slow/stop due to market saturation.

It's not strictly true though since the market itself can grow so your sales could still double or more from a level that had represented 50% of the market at some time in the past.


Everything true is tautological in some context.




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