China's IPv6 transition is 74% complete.[1] Conversion to IPv6 was specifically called out in China's 14th Five Year Plan, which gives the goal high visibility within the government and the Party. Conversion is quite far along. The current goal is everything IPv6 enabled by 2025, IPv4 turns off in 2030.
99% of the top 100 mobile applications in China are on IPv6.
China Mobile's backbone is now IPv6 only.
India is also around 75%. Both of them cover quite a bit of humanity. The regions where growth is going to happen don't own a lot of blocks so they will focus on IPv6.
Some of the larger Danish ISP has explained that they do not offer IPv6, because there's no demand. I very much doubt that they have any demand for IPv4 either, because most people don't know and don't care how the internet is delivered to them.
I'm on Aussie Broadband, but the building is with OptiComm -- a company that decided that their business model is lock-in contracts with the apartment builders and price-gouging of customers.
The IPv6 transition is a side effect of China building their own internal "internet" from the ground up that will not be connected to what we think of as the internet. "Turning off IPv4" is code for shutting off the DFZ and users only being able to reach other networks within the country.
We should absolutely not be pointing to this as a success or a model for other countries.
What? You can still connect to worldwide IPv6 endpoints in China -- some endpoints are censored, just the same as how the IPv4 firewall is accomplished.
You are describing as if the IPv6 network within China is completely blocked off from the wider network. It's not.
Collective action by people willing to listen to experts is needed to achieve positive infrastructure results. Infrastructure being a precept to growth, I would not be surprised if our inability to do this leads to the West's current global position becoming greatly diminished.
IPV4 internet is so broken in terms of surveillance you might as well just get a satellite uplink or some sort of out-of-band channel if you're in china.
v6 is just as easy to censor as v4. Given the popularity of Veitnamese pho noodles over there, I don't think internet censorship is as important an objective as you estimate. Have you noticed how many Chinese tourists there are around the world? Not much you can do about internet when any of them could just pick up a newspaper.
My impression is that the Chinese government doesn’t care about a few people being able to access blocked content. What they want to do is prevent large social movements from forming via the mainstream internet.
99% of the top 100 mobile applications in China are on IPv6. China Mobile's backbone is now IPv6 only.
[1] https://www.china-ipv6.cn/#/