I feel people are exaggerating the impossibility of replacing CUDA. Adopting CUDA is convenient right now because yes it is difficult to replace it. Barrier to entry for orgs that can do that is very high. But it has been done. Google has the TPU for example.
The TPU is not a GPU nor is it commercially available. It is a chip optimized around a limited featureset with a limited software layer on top of it. It's an impressive demonstration on Google's behalf to be sure, but it's also not a shot across the bow at Nvidia's business. Nvidia has the TSMC relations, a refined and complex streaming multiprocessor architecture and actual software support their customers can go use today. TPUs haven't quite taken over like people anticipated anyways.
I don't personally think CUDA is impossible to replace - but I do think that everyone capable of replacing CUDA has been ignoring it recently. Nvidia's role as the GPGPU compute people is secure for the foreseeable future. Apple wants to design simpler GPUs, AMD wants to design cheaper GPUs, and Intel wants to pretend like they can compete with AMD. Every stakeholder with the capacity to turn this ship around is pretending like Nvidia doesn't exist and whistling until they go away.
I don’t disagree with what you are saying but I want to point out that the fact that the TPU is not a GPU is not really relevant. In the end what matters most is whether or not it can accelerate PyTorch.
They're not exaggerating it. The more things change, the more they stay the same. Nvidia and AMD had the exact same relationship 15 years ago that they do today. The AMD crowd clutching about their better efficiencies, and the Nvidia crowd having grossly superior drivers/firmware/hardware, including unique PhysX stuff that STILL has not been matched since 2012 (remember Planetside 2 or Broderlands 2 physics? Pepperidge Farm Remembers...)
So many billions of dollars and no one is even 1% close to displacing CUDA in any meaningful way. ZULDA is dead. ROCM is a meme, Scale is a meme. Either you use CUDA or you don't do meaningful AI work.